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00:00.0
I believe it's one of the issues but not the sole issue.
00:28.2
I believe nagsimula ito noong nang nagkahulian doon sa mga dabaw mafia niya, yung mga police na na-involve doon sa droga,
00:42.8
yun, nung nahuli si Bantag, si Tebes, lahat ito, mga dabaw group ito, mga kasindikato ni Duterte yan.
00:50.8
O yung mga yan, umaasa.
00:52.6
O pati ngayon, si Kibuloy.
00:55.6
So, these people, ang only way out nila doon sa situation nila ngayon is makabalik sa pwesto yung mga Duterte.
01:05.2
So, ngayon, for Duterte himself, hindi lang itong pag-save niya doon sa kanyang criminal enterprise,
01:12.4
kasi magkakantahan niya yung mga yan pagka naipit, gusto rin niyang i-save yung sarili niya from the ICC.
01:21.1
So, in the case ng Kikibuloy, nakatali.
01:25.6
Nakatali din dyan yung mga ninaakaw niya.
01:28.7
So, kumaga, marami siyang mga personal reasons to do so.
01:34.7
One major reason is the ICC, but it is not the sole reason.
01:41.4
So, yun na lang natin.
01:45.0
Okay. Pero how serious itong idea? Kasi hindi naman itong first time na nabanggit niya rin.
01:50.5
Yung idea na dinidistabilize ni dating Pangulong Duterte.
01:55.6
Yung current administration because of reasons that you cited.
02:00.0
At this stage, kasi nakita natin meron ding palitan, di ba?
02:04.2
Yung first lady nagsalita na against the vice president.
02:09.4
Pero minamanage siya ni BBM, di ba?
02:12.1
So, how serious yung idea ng destabilization at this stage po?
02:19.3
It is very serious.
02:21.3
It is very serious.
02:23.6
At ito rin ang tituloy.
02:28.0
By June 30, two years na ang maglalap since nag-start yung term.
02:37.7
Ngayon, kung ano man namangyari, for whatever reason, at mawala sa pwesto si President Marcos,
02:45.3
mag-a-assume si Sarah Duterte, assuming after June 30, ngayon eligible na siya for re-election sa 2028.
02:56.7
Eligible na siya sa re-election sa 2028, just like what happened nung Ed Sados, yung kay Gloria Arroyo.
03:05.2
Hindi sila gumagalaw noon.
03:07.8
Nagpipigil sila noon ng paggalaw until nag-lapse yung two years.
03:12.9
Tapos after nung two years ni ERAP, doon nila pinagalaw yung kanilang plot.
03:20.9
Kaya nung eventually it led to the ouster of President ERAP,
03:25.6
naupo ngayon si GMA, pwede na siyang tumakbo ng 2024.
03:32.0
Ngayon, ganun din ang ano nitong Duterte camp.
03:38.8
So, noona, talagang sinusubukan nila for various reasons, kasi nag-pre-fail.
03:44.7
Ngayon, because of the proximity ng ICC warrant, as you mentioned,
03:52.9
Pwede na sila mag-all out.
03:54.5
Kasi nga, pag naupo si Sarah, pwede na siyang mag-tenure presidency kung magtatagumpay sila.
04:04.7
So, yun ang basa nyo sa time frame kung meron man.
04:08.8
It's not necessarily next year, basta kailangan after two years, after June 30.
04:17.2
Kung baga, titignan kasi natin, ipoprofile natin yung mga Dutertes.
04:24.5
Ano ba ito, mga ito?
04:26.8
Palagay nyo, mag-okay lang sa kanila na ganito yung sitwasyon nila,
04:32.1
yung wala sila sa puder, they're at the mercy of the political winds kung saan dadalin.
04:40.1
Hindi sila ganyan.
04:41.3
They were never not in control sa kanilang faith.
04:47.5
Even nung nasa Davao sila,
04:49.8
nag-part, nag-mamodus-bibendi sila with the national government
04:54.0
para magproteksyonan yung kanilang turf.
04:57.0
Pero ngayon, under siege sila.
05:00.1
Hindi nagpigil itong Marcos administration to run after yung mga kasindikato nila.
05:05.8
Ang unahin na dyan, si Kibuloy.
05:07.8
Kaya ngayon, talagang threatened na sila.
05:11.7
Then here comes the ICC.
05:14.4
Titignan natin, ito bang sila Duterte?
05:16.9
Palagay nyo, magpipigil ito na hindi nila papatalsikin si Marcos
05:23.0
Disenting mga tao sila
05:25.2
or tumaharap ng mga consequences ng mga actions sila.
05:32.8
Hindi, hindi sila gano'n.
05:34.6
On the contrary, papatay sila if it will meet their desired ends.
05:44.5
Hindi naghihesitate ito to kill political foes.
05:54.6
Yung history nila, ando doon na yun.
05:56.9
So, bakit natin i-assume
05:59.1
despite that history,
06:02.2
eh mag-iiba ang gagawin nila kay President Marcos?
06:05.8
So, very predictable.
06:07.7
They will now go all out
06:10.0
para lang masave nila yung sarili nila.
06:15.5
And the only way for them to do that
06:18.2
is to oust President Marcos.
06:22.3
Puntahan naman po.
06:23.0
Sabihin natin yung response ni BBM so far
06:25.4
dun sa mga pag-atake ni former President Duterte
06:29.6
ng dalawa niyang anak.
06:31.7
Tapos si Sarah Duterte,
06:32.8
miski hindi directly binabanatan si BBM,
06:36.2
eh yung kanyang kilos naman.
06:38.0
Parang says otherwise.
06:39.3
Umaaten po siya ng mga rally
06:40.6
kung saan tinutuya o pinapabagsak si President Marcos.
06:46.3
Bakit sa tingin niya yung sagot ni President Marcos?
06:48.9
Parang sabi na iba weak eh.
06:51.9
For instance, diba?
06:52.5
Yung mga sagot niya is
06:53.6
it must be the fentanyl.
06:56.5
Tapos yung, diba?
06:58.0
Hindi niya ginagantihan.
07:01.1
Ang sinasabi na iba,
07:02.3
baka daw may utang na loob
07:03.6
dahil hindi siya mananalo
07:05.9
ng ganyan kung wala yung mga Duterte.
07:08.5
Ano po bang basa niyo?
07:10.6
Palagay ko, iba eh.
07:12.5
Pag tinitignan mo nga
07:13.7
yung track record ni President Marcos
07:17.9
before he became president,
07:20.7
wala kang maririnig na sinabi niya,
07:22.5
negative, publicly,
07:27.7
Nung binabanatan siya ni Cayetano
07:31.7
doon sa debate noong 2016,
07:35.4
Before, I mean after,
07:37.5
and during, hindi.
07:39.4
Meron siyang message discipline eh.
07:42.3
Meron siyang message discipline.
07:43.7
Ngayon kung sasabihin natin
07:44.9
hindi maganda strategy yan,
07:48.5
but let's remember,
07:50.0
because of this style niya,
07:52.5
eh, he's no president.
07:56.0
It may have been a very long game
07:58.0
o baka sinwerte siya,
07:59.2
but at the end of the day,
08:02.0
yung strategy niya ng ganyan
08:03.9
na walang masamang tinapay
08:06.6
got him to the presidency.
08:11.7
So who's to say that that strategy
08:14.5
is not a good strategy?
08:17.9
Kaya nga ang tinitignan ko na lang dito
08:21.5
si siya, si President Marcos,
08:24.5
ah, says what he needs to,
08:28.5
he will say what he, he needs to say,
08:33.5
he will do what he needs to do.
08:37.5
halika na kasama ka.
08:42.5
kapag buklot ay may pag-asa.
08:45.5
Tusong Visayas, Mindanao,
08:51.5
bagong Pilipinas ang bunyog,